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Michael Pittman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-320).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -305 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -320.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.

While Michael Pittman has accounted for 12.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Indianapolis's passing offense near the end zone in this game at 19.7%.

Michael Pittman has been in the 75th percentile for WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) with an impressive 50.7 figure this year.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the league this year.

Michael Pittman's 76.5% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a significant gain in his pass-catching talent over last year's 63.8% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 5th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 49.1% red zone run rate.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the model to run just 64.2 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

After averaging 72.0 air yards per game last season, Michael Pittman has fallen off this season, now sitting at 63.0 per game.

This year, the daunting Chiefs defense has conceded a mere 0.60 TDs through the air per game to opposing wide receivers: the 6th-smallest rate in football.

More Michael Pittman Player Props

Michael Pittman TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12