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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts have been the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 63.6% pass rate.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.7 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Michael Pittman to accumulate 7.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • With a sizeable 24.0% Target% (88th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman ranks among the wide receivers with the highest volume in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Colts being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.

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