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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Michael Pittman has run a route on 88.1% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to notch 8.0 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Michael Pittman profiles as one of the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 3.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in football (59.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Colts.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.
  • The Chargers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (59.3%) versus WRs this year (59.3%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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