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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-159/+142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -159.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are predicted by the predictive model to call 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to accumulate 8.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Michael Pittman has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 24.6% this year, which ranks him in the 88th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • With an outstanding 4.0 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman stands among the top WRs in the NFL in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

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