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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-131/+117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +113 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.

With an extraordinary 89.4% Route Participation% (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Pittman stands among the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.

The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to notch 8.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 4th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Indianapolis Colts.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (61.0%).

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

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