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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+109/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to run the 9th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

With a high 89.2% Route% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Pittman rates as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league.

The model projects Michael Pittman to earn 6.4 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

With an outstanding 4.3 adjusted receptions per game (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Pittman places as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.0% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier weather this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.4 per game) since the start of last season.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Tennessee's unit has been very good since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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