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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+106/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by the projection model to run 64.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-most on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.

In this week's contest, Michael Pittman is expected by the model to rank in the 87th percentile among wideouts with 8.1 targets.

With an impressive 24.6% Target Rate (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Pittman stands as one of the WRs with the most usage in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Denver's unit has been very good since the start of last season, grading out as the best in football.

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