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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Colts, who are -4-point underdogs.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • In this week's game, Michael Pittman is predicted by the projection model to finish in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.7 targets.
  • With an exceptional 23.8% Target Rate (85th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman ranks as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 10th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 59.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a measly 54.9 per game on average).

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