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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Colts.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • The leading projections forecast Michael Pittman to garner 7.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • With an impressive 23.0% Target Rate (87th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman stands as one of the WRs with the most usage in the league.
  • The Colts offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.7 plays per game.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59%) to wideouts this year (59.0%).
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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