My Account Log Out
 
 
Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-126/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Colts.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • This week, Michael Pittman is expected by the predictive model to land in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.1 targets.
  • With an extraordinary 23.4% Target% (87th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman ranks as one of the WRs with the highest volume in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Colts being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • The Texans pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (56.8%) versus WRs this year (56.8%).
  • The Houston Texans cornerbacks profile as the 5th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™