My Account Log Out
 
 
Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+121/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Colts rank as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Colts to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This week, Michael Pittman is predicted by the predictive model to finish in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.1 targets.
  • With a top-tier 24.5% Target Rate (88th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman stands as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.4 per game) this year.
  • The Falcons pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (60%) vs. wideouts this year (60.0%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™