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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-113/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Michael Pittman has run a route on 88.1% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to notch 8.0 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • With a remarkable 45.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (77th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman stands as one of the best wide receivers in the game in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-least pass-centric offense in football (59.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Colts.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.
  • Michael Pittman has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (61.0 per game) than he did last year (72.0 per game).
  • Michael Pittman's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a noteable decline in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 3.7% figure.
  • The Chargers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (59.3%) versus WRs this year (59.3%).

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