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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-118/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.
  • In this contest, Michael Pittman is expected by the projection model to find himself in the 82nd percentile among wideouts with 7.6 targets.
  • With an extraordinary 23.3% Target Rate (85th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman stands among the WRs with the most usage in the league.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Michael Pittman has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (72.0 per game).
  • Michael Pittman's ability to grind out extra yardage has worsened this season, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.70 figure last season.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Arizona's group of CBs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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