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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-109/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Colts.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • This week, Michael Pittman is expected by the predictive model to land in the 89th percentile among wide receivers with 8.1 targets.
  • With an extraordinary 23.4% Target% (87th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman ranks as one of the WRs with the highest volume in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Colts being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • Michael Pittman has notched far fewer air yards this season (61.0 per game) than he did last season (72.0 per game).
  • Michael Pittman's skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.70 mark last year.
  • This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has yielded a measly 114.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the best in football.

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