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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the NFL has been the Colts.
  • The predictive model expects Michael Pittman to accumulate 7.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • With an extraordinary 23.0% Target Rate (86th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman rates as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the model to run just 64.2 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • After averaging 72.0 air yards per game last season, Michael Pittman has fallen off this season, now sitting at 63.0 per game.
  • Michael Pittman's talent in generating extra yardage have tailed off this year, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.70 mark last year.
  • The Chiefs defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 124.0) to WRs this year.

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