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Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts rank as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.7% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Colts to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This week, Michael Pittman is predicted by the predictive model to finish in the 87th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.1 targets.

With a top-tier 24.5% Target Rate (88th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman stands as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Michael Pittman has posted a whopping 69.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.4 per game) this year.

Michael Pittman's ability to grind out extra yardage has worsened this season, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.70 rate last season.

The Falcons defense has surrendered the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 122.0) vs. WRs this year.

The Falcons pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (60%) vs. wideouts this year (60.0%).

More Michael Pittman Player Props

Michael Pittman Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10