Michael Pittman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Michael Pittman

NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game.
This week, Michael Pittman is forecasted by the model to land in the 99th percentile among WRs with 11.1 targets.
Michael Pittman's 31.7% Target Rate this season marks a substantial growth in his air attack volume over last season's 26.4% figure.

Favors Under

Michael Pittman is positioned as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging a measly 7.49 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 25th percentile among wideouts

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