Michael Pittman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Michael Pittman

NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 67.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Michael Pittman has run a route on 96.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to accumulate 8.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
Michael Pittman has put up a whopping 75.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile among wide receivers.
Michael Pittman has been among the leading pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 63.0 yards per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.

Favors Under

The Colts are a big 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The Colts rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 60.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in the league.
The Houston Texans pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.82 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in the league.

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