My Account Log Out
 
 
Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+710/-800).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +700 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +710.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • With an elite 13.3% Red Zone Target Share (76th percentile) this year, Michael Mayer places among the tight ends with the most usage near the end zone in the league.
  • Michael Mayer's 85.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a substantial growth in his pass-catching skills over last year's 65.1% rate.
  • This year, the fierce Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has conceded a puny 0.57 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.1% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the Raiders.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.1 plays per game.
  • After totaling 17.0 air yards per game last season, Michael Mayer has seen a big decline this season, currently averaging 9.0 per game.
  • This year, the daunting Jacksonville Jaguars defense has surrendered a feeble 67.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-best rate in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™