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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders

Michael Mayer Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+570/-1000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Raiders have been the 4th-least pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 33.3% red zone pass rate.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Michael Mayer has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 12.1% since the start of last season, which places him in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in football.

The receiving touchdown column reads "0" on the back of Michael Mayer's trading card since the start of last season.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in the NFL against the Commanders defense since the start of last season (68.2% Adjusted Completion%).

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