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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-600).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Michael Mayer's 23.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 16.6.
  • Michael Mayer's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 65.1% to 71.7%.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) against the Browns defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Raiders are favored in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 125.3 total plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.9 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • This year, the strong Browns defense has conceded a paltry 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-best rate in the NFL.

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