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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -13-point disadvantage, the Raiders are massive underdogs this week, indicating much more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In this contest, Michael Mayer is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 7.7 targets.
  • Our trusted projections expect Michael Mayer to be a much bigger part of his team's passing offense in this game (23.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.7% in games he has played).
  • Michael Mayer's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 65.1% to 84.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Raiders to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs safeties project as the 10th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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