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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • In this week's game, Michael Mayer is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 81st percentile among tight ends with 5.2 targets.
  • Our trusted projections expect Michael Mayer to be a more important option in his offense's pass game in this week's contest (15.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.1% in games he has played).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Michael Mayer's 100.0% Adjusted Catch% this season represents an impressive improvement in his receiving prowess over last season's 65.1% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Raiders, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • With a 60.0% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league has been the Raiders.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.5 total plays run: the 5th-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Tennessee Titans defensive ends project as the 4th-best collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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