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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

Michael Mayer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Mayer checks in as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in a measly 69.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 16th percentile.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Los Angeles's safety corps has been tremendous since the start of last season, grading out as the 9th-best in football.

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