Michael Mayer Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

Michael Mayer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-141).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Kenny Pickett.

At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

The Raiders rank as the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.0% pass rate.

Michael Mayer's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.1% to 72.1%.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been terrible this year, grading out as the worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Raiders to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Raiders this year (a mere 53.1 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being projected in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (67%) vs. tight ends this year (67.0%).

More Michael Mayer Player Props

Michael Mayer ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 15

Philadelphia Eagles vs Las Vegas Raiders

Michael Mayer Receptions
Player Prop Week 15