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Michael Mayer Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

Michael Mayer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.1% pass rate.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The leading projections forecast Michael Mayer to garner 5.1 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 78th percentile among TEs.

Michael Mayer's 23.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 16.6.

Michael Mayer's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 65.1% to 71.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4-point advantage, the Raiders are favored in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 125.3 total plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 26.9 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

This year, the strong Browns defense has conceded a paltry 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 3rd-best rate in the NFL.

More Michael Mayer Player Props

Michael Mayer ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

Michael Mayer Receptions
Player Prop Week 12