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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a big -9-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 61.1% of their plays: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • Michael Mayer's 23.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 16.6.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (just 52.5 per game on average).
  • This year, the stout Broncos defense has yielded a feeble 64.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Broncos safeties grade out as the 8th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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