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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • Michael Mayer's 85.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a substantial growth in his pass-catching skills over last year's 65.1% rate.
  • Michael Mayer's receiving effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, averaging 7.74 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 5.27 figure last year.
  • The Jaguars defense has been torched for the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (75.0) vs. tight ends this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.1% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the Raiders.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.1 plays per game.
  • After totaling 17.0 air yards per game last season, Michael Mayer has seen a big decline this season, currently averaging 9.0 per game.
  • Michael Mayer's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this season, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 2.90 mark last season.

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