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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • Michael Mayer's 100.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a material improvement in his receiving skills over last year's 65.1% rate.
  • Michael Mayer's 8.4 adjusted yards per target this season represents a substantial progression in his receiving prowess over last season's 5.3 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Commanders defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in football.
  • With a subpar 2.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (6th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Mayer places among the best pass-catching TEs in football in the open field.

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