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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Mayer checks in as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among TEs, hauling in a measly 69.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 16th percentile.
  • With a poor 5.8 adjusted yards per target (10th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Mayer places among the weakest pass-game TEs in the league.
  • With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Mayer has been among the best pass-catching tight ends in the NFL in the open field.
  • Since the start of last season, the imposing Chargers defense has surrendered a puny 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 3rd-fewest in football.
  • Since the start of last season, the deficient Chargers defense has conceded the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a colossal 0.00 YAC.

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