My Account Log Out
 
 
Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup QB Kenny Pickett.
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to pass on 60.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • The predictive model expects Michael Mayer to garner 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to run the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 51.9 plays per game.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Michael Mayer rates as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in football among tight ends, averaging a measly 6.24 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 13th percentile.
  • Michael Mayer's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a material diminishment in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 2.9% mark.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™