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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+104/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Michael Mayer to garner 7.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • The model projects Michael Mayer to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack in this contest (21.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.2% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projections to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • With a lackluster 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (16th percentile) this year, Michael Mayer has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among TEs.
  • Michael Mayer rates as one of the least effective receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging a mere 5.76 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 6th percentile.

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