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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-109/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a giant -14-point underdog this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Michael Mayer's 72.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteable growth in his receiving talent over last season's 65.1% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Raiders to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
  • The Raiders O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Michael Mayer ranks as one of the least effective receivers in football among TEs, averaging a measly 6.07 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 12th percentile.
  • Michael Mayer's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this season, totaling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 2.90 figure last season.

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