|
|
Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/+105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -135.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
The Raiders may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more carries) given that they be rolling out backup QB Kenny Pickett.At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.The Raiders rank as the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.0% pass rate.Michael Mayer's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.1% to 72.1%.When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been terrible this year, grading out as the worst in the league.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
The projections expect the Raiders to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The 4th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Raiders this year (a mere 53.1 per game on average).Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being projected in this game) generally correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.With a bad 6.1 adjusted yards per target (10th percentile) this year, Michael Mayer rates as one of the bottom tight ends in the pass game in the league.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
