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Michael Mayer

Michael Mayer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Michael Mayer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-102/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders offense to be the quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.33 seconds per play.
  • The Patriots linebackers rank as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL last year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Raiders offensive scheme to skew 2.1% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Chip Kelly now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects the Raiders to be the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.4% pass rate.
  • With a subpar 65.0% Adjusted Catch% (8th percentile) last year, Michael Mayer stands among the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to tight ends.
  • With a poor 5.3 adjusted yards per target (4th percentile) last year, Michael Mayer has been as one of the worst TE receiving threats in football.
  • With a weak 2.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (8th percentile) last year, Michael Mayer has been among the leading TEs in the pass game in football in space.

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