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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Michael Gallup Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-146/+114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.2 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Michael Gallup's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 54.2% to 60.5%.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Washington's unit has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a giant 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Michael Gallup's 23.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 40.8.

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