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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Michael Gallup Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 60.5 per game on average).
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • Michael Gallup's 60.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a significant growth in his pass-catching talent over last season's 54.2% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Cowboys being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Michael Gallup has been a less important option in his offense's passing game this season (10.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (16.5%).

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