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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys offensive scheme to skew 3.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • The Chargers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.
  • Michael Gallup's 66.3% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a a noteable gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 54.2% rate.
  • Michael Gallup's pass-game effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 8.80 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 6.49 mark last year.
  • Michael Gallup's ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten a boost this season, notching 5.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.03 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Michael Gallup has put up quite a few less air yards this year (47.0 per game) than he did last year (61.0 per game).

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