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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
  • Michael Gallup's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 54.2% to 60.5%.
  • Michael Gallup's 7.6 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a meaningful progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 6.5 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a giant 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • After totaling 61.0 air yards per game last year, Michael Gallup has undergone a big decline this year, currently averaging 38.0 per game.
  • Michael Gallup's 23.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 40.8.

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