Michael Gallup Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Michael Gallup

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 5:10 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Gallup Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-112/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.45 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Michael Gallup has run a route on 86.1% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
Michael Gallup has totaled a monstrous 89.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 88th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.
Michael Gallup has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football, catching a mere 60.3% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among wide receivers
Michael Gallup has been among the worst wide receivers in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.34 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 18th percentile.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.