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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Carter Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-400).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +188 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals may pass less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett.
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 62.1% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 129.9 total plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • Michael Carter slots into the 81st percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 12.9 mark since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Carter has received 42.9% of his offense's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • The receiving TD column reads "0" on Michael Carter's stats page since the start of last season.
  • Michael Carter has rushed for 0.33 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (80th percentile).
  • This year, the tough Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded a feeble 71.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 4th-lowest rate in football.

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