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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Carter Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+196/-335).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +240 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +196.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are a heavy 14.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 68.1% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • At the moment, the most pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (65.1% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Cardinals.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a colossal 60.2 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast Michael Carter to be a less important option in his team's ground game near the end zone in this game (4.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (16.7% in games he has played).
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
  • Michael Carter's 75.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a substantial decline in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 100.0% mark.
  • The receiving touchdown column reads "0" on Michael Carter's stats page this year.
  • This year, the imposing Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded a puny 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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