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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Michael Carter Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -158.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.8% red zone pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 135.3 total plays called: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Cardinals this year (a massive 61.3 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and reduced run volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
  • While Michael Carter has been responsible for 20.7% of his team's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Arizona's rushing attack near the end zone this week at 55.8%.
  • The Cardinals O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • Michael Carter's 81.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a meaningful drop-off in his receiving prowess over last season's 100.0% mark.
  • The receiving touchdown column reads "0" on Michael Carter's player page this year.

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