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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Michael Carter Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+340/-495).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cardinals to pass on 66.5% of their chances: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 4th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (61.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
  • Michael Carter's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 100.0% to 83.7%.
  • This year, Michael Carter has not caught any receiving touchdowns this year.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.7%) to RBs this year (80.7%).

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