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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Michael Carter Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.
  • Michael Carter has been given 40.0% of his offense's run game usage since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • This year, the deficient Titans run defense has given up a monstrous 152.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-worst in football.
  • The Titans safeties profile as the 31st-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 9th-least run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 37.4% run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Michael Carter comes in as one of the weakest RBs in the league at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 2.31 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 23rd percentile.

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