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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Carter Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-150/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • The Buccaneers defensive ends profile as the 4th-worst group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are underdogs this week, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to run on 37.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Michael Carter has been a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (27.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (47.9%).
  • Michael Carter's rushing effectiveness has declined this season, accumulating a mere 2.82 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 3.71 mark last season.

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