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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Michael Carter Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Michael Carter to earn 12.6 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
  • Michael Carter has earned 50.9% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (145 per game) versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season.
  • The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Jets rank as the 8th-least run-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 32.1% run rate.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best DE corps in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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