My Account Log Out
 
Michael Carter
NFL · Player Props
Michael Carter
RB · New York Jets
Rushing TD
New England Patriots vs New York Jets · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Michael Carter Rushing TD

Michael Carter Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+263/-437).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +274 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +263.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 45.4% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Michael Carter has received 40.6% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
  • Michael Carter has rushed for 0.33 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (76th percentile).
  • The New England Patriots defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
Favors Under
  • The Jets are a heavy 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The New York Jets offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 2nd-least TDs in the league (0.44 per game) versus the New England Patriots defense this year.
  • The New England Patriots have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
More Michael Carter Props Data by WriteNow™
About WriteNow