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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Carter Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap.
  • This week, Michael Carter is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 88th percentile among running backs with 4.0 targets.
  • With a fantastic 2.3 adjusted catches per game (85th percentile) this year, Michael Carter ranks as one of the top RBs in the pass game in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Michael Carter's 38.3% Route Participation% this year marks an impressive decrease in his passing attack workload over last year's 56.6% mark.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year.
  • Michael Carter's 78.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 100.0% figure.

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