My Account Log Out
 
 
Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Michael Carter Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cardinals to pass on 66.5% of their chances: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.8 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Carter has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (32.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (56.6%).
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
  • Michael Carter's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 100.0% to 83.7%.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.7%) to RBs this year (80.7%).
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™